Minn St
W-L: (21-10) PR = 98.1643Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 2- 6 1011 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 1016 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 1 1017 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 2- 2 1024 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 4- 2 1025 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 2- 1 1031 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 1 1101 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 4 1107 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 4- 4 1108 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 1- 1 1114 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 2- 1 1115 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 4- 2 1121 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 0 1122 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 2 1128 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 0 1129 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 3- 2 1205 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 1206 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 1- 4 1212 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 1213 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 102 A UMass Lowell (13-24, 97.2) 1- 3 103 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.4) 4- 3 110 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 4 116 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 3 117 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 4 124 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 130 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 6- 1 131 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 4- 3 213 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 1- 0 214 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 0- 1 220 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 5- 4 221 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 1- 1 227 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 2- 2 228 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 3- 0 306 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 307 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 1- 2 308 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 2- 0 314 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 7- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Omaha 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.02
1011 A Omaha 4- 1 3 0 + 2.98
1016 A Wisconsin 1- 1 0 -1 0.86
1017 A Wisconsin 2- 2 0 -1 0.86
1024 H RPI 4- 2 2 2 -0.06
1025 H RPI 2- 1 1 2 -1.06
1031 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 + 2.28
1101 H St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 0 -1.45
1107 H Bowl Green 4- 4 0 1 -0.66
1108 H Bowl Green 1- 1 0 1 -0.66
1114 A L Superor 2- 1 1 1 0.03
1115 A L Superor 4- 2 2 1 1.03
1121 H Mich Tech 3- 0 3 0 + 2.51
1122 H Mich Tech 3- 2 1 0 0.51
1128 A No Mich 4- 0 4 2 1.95
1129 A No Mich 3- 2 1 2 -1.05
1205 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.14
1206 H Ferris St 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.86
1212 A Augustana 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.30
1213 A Augustana 4- 4 0 -1 0.70
102 A UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60
103 A Yale 4- 3 1 1 -0.40
110 H St. Thomas 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.45
116 A Mich Tech 1- 3 -2 0 -1.76
117 A Mich Tech 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.76
124 H Augustana 4- 1 3 0 + 2.97
130 A Ferris St 6- 1 5 1 + 3.87
131 A Ferris St 4- 3 1 1 -0.13
220 A Bowl Green 5- 4 1 0 1.07
221 A Bowl Green 1- 1 0 0 0.07
227 H No Mich 2- 2 0 3 - -2.78
228 H No Mich 3- 0 3 3 0.22
306 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.14
307 H Ferris St 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.86
308 H Ferris St 2- 0 2 2 0.14
314 H Mich Tech 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Omaha 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.02 1206 H Ferris St 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.86 102 A UMass Lowell 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60 110 H St. Thomas 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.45 117 A Mich Tech 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.76 227 H No Mich 2- 2 0 3 - -2.78 307 H Ferris St 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Mich Tech 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.51 1011 A Omaha 4- 1 3 0 + 2.98 1031 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 + 2.28 1121 H Mich Tech 3- 0 3 0 + 2.51 1205 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.14 124 H Augustana 4- 1 3 0 + 2.97 130 A Ferris St 6- 1 5 1 + 3.87 306 H Ferris St 5- 1 4 2 + 2.14 |
Minn St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Minn St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Minn St | |
| Army | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Bentley | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Canisius | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Holy Cross | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Mercyhurst | Minn St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Minn St | |
| Niagara | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 1) | Minn St | |
| RIT | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Rob Morris | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Sacred Heart | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 2) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 2) | Minn St | |
| Notre Dame | Minn St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Minn St | |
| Ohio State | Minn St | Minn St 1- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | Augustana | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 4- 2) | Augustana | |
| Bemidji St | Minn St | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) | Minn St | |
| Bowl Green | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Ferris St | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| L Superor | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Mich Tech | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| No Mich | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Alaska | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 4) | Minn St | |
| Alaska Anch | Minn St | Minn St 2- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Lindenwood | Minn St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) | Minn St | |
| LIU | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Stonehill | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minn St | |
| Brown | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Minn St | |
| Clarkson | Minn St | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) | Minn St | |
| Colgate | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Minn St | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Minn St | |
| Princeton | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 3) | Minn St | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| St Lawrence | Minn St | Minn St 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Union | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Minn St | |
| Yale | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Boston Col | Boston Col | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 3- 0) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Maine | Maine | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Maine | |
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | Minn St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 1) | Minn St | |
| New Hamp | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Minn St | |
| Northeastern | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| Providence | Providence | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Providence | |
| UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Vermont | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minn St | |
| Arizona St | Minn St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Minn St | |
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 3) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Denver | |
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 2- 1) | Miami | |
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Omaha | Minn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 2) | Minn St | |
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | St Cloud St | |
| Western Mich | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 40
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 2- 6 -2.12 2.33 0.36 0.95 -0.83
0 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.12 2.33 0.36 0.95 5.10
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 1 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 ********
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 2- 2 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 ********
0 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.43 1.02 -0.36 0.95 1.23
0 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.43 1.02 -0.36 0.95 1.23
0 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.82 2.63 0.36 0.95 5.66
0 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 4 -1.82 2.63 -0.36 0.95 -1.03
0 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 4- 4 -2.03 2.42 -0.36 0.95 ********
0 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 1- 1 -2.03 2.42 -0.36 0.95 ********
0 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 2- 1 -3.07 1.38 0.36 0.95 3.30
0 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 4- 2 -3.07 1.38 0.36 0.95 3.30
0 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 0 -1.87 2.58 -0.36 0.95 4.20
0 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 2 -1.87 2.58 -0.36 0.95 4.20
0 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 0 -4.15 1.00 0.36 0.95 2.58
0 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 3- 2 -4.15 1.00 0.36 0.95 2.58
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 1.62
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 1- 4 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 -1.70
0 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 3 -1.40 3.05 0.36 0.95 -0.49
0 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.40 3.05 0.36 0.95 ********
0 A UMass Lowell (13-24, 97.2) 1- 3 -2.70 1.75 0.36 0.95 -1.10
0 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.4) 4- 3 -3.50 1.00 0.36 0.95 2.58
0 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 4 -1.82 2.63 -0.36 0.95 -1.03
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 3 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.95 -0.71
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 4 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.95 -0.71
0 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.40 3.05 -0.36 0.95 5.08
0 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 6- 1 -3.23 1.22 0.36 0.95 3.00
0 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.23 1.22 0.36 0.95 3.00
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 1- 0 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 0.95 2.56
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 0- 1 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 0.95 -1.46
0 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 5- 4 -2.03 2.42 0.36 0.95 5.27
0 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 1- 1 -2.03 2.42 0.36 0.95 ********
0 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 2- 2 -4.15 1.00 -0.36 0.95 ********
0 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 3- 0 -4.15 1.00 -0.36 0.95 1.20
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 1.62
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 1- 2 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 -1.70
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 2- 0 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 1.62
0 H Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 7- 2 -1.87 2.58 -0.36 0.95 4.20
------
********
|
winning pts = 65.1435 losing points = -10.7703
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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